草地学报

›› 1996, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (3): 194-200.DOI: 10.11733/j.issn.1007-0435.1996.03.005

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

松嫩草地未来气候情景

邓慧平1, 祝廷成1, 吴正方2   

  1. 1. 东北师范大学草地研究所, 长春130024;
    2. 东北师范大学地理系, 长春130024
  • 出版日期:1996-08-15 发布日期:2012-07-11

The Scenarios in the Songnen Steppe

Deng Huiping1, Zhu Tingcheng1, Wu Zhengfang2   

  1. 1. Institute of Grassland, Northeast Teachers University, Changchun 130024;
    2. Department of twaphy, Northeast Teachers University, Changchun 130024
  • Online:1996-08-15 Published:2012-07-11

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摘要： 本文介绍了目前产生气候情景的主要方法。给出四种大气环流模式,预测在二氧化碳加倍的条件下松嫩草地季节及年度气温和降水的变化。

关键词: 气候变化, 气候情景, 大气环流模式, 松嫩草地

Abstract: In this paper, at first, we intreduce the methods used to generate climate scenarios.The main point is focused on the scenarios predicted by GCMS.Then, scerarios predicted by UKMO’OSU’GISS and GFDL GCMS are intreduced in the bongnen Steppe.The results indicate that due to CO2 doubling, winter air temperature may rise 3.0 to 7.4℃ and winter precipitation may increase 10.0 16.0%.Summer air temperature may rise 2.5 5.5t and precipitation may increase 10% or so.Annual air temperature may rise 2.5 7.6℃ and annual precipitation may increase about 10%.Such changes in temperature and precipitation will have effects on grassland ecosystem.These effects will be looked insight into in future research.

Key words: Climate change, Climate scenarios, Gerneral circulation models, Songnen Steppe