Sustainable Evaluation and Driving Forces of Natural Capital in the Three-dimensional Ecological Footprint of the Upper Reaches of the Yellow River Region

doi:10.11733/j.issn.1007-0435.2024.01.029

Acta Agrestia Sinica ›› 2024, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (1): 284-296.DOI: 10.11733/j.issn.1007-0435.2024.01.029

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Sustainable Evaluation and Driving Forces of Natural Capital in the Three-dimensional Ecological Footprint of the Upper Reaches of the Yellow River Region

GUO Jing¹, WEI Zhen², ZHOU Hua-kun³

1. Research Department of Ecological Civilization, Qinghai Academy of Social Sciences, Xining, Qinghai Province 810000, China;
2. Research Department of Economics, Qinghai Academy of Social Sciences, Xining, Qinghai Province 810000, China;
3. Northwest Institute of Plateau Biology, Chinese Academy of Science;Key Laboratory of restoration ecology of cold area in Qinghai Province, Xining, Qinghai Province 810008, China

Received:2023-09-04 Revised:2023-10-12 Online:2024-01-15 Published:2024-01-30

黄河上游地区三维生态足迹自然资本可持续评价及驱动力

郭婧¹, 魏珍², 周华坤³

1. 青海省社会科学院, 生态文明研究所, 青海西宁 810000;
2. 青海省社会科学院, 经济研究所, 青海西宁 810000;
3. 中国科学院西北高原生物研究所, 青海省寒区恢复生态学重点实验室, 青海西宁 810008

通讯作者: 周华坤,E-mail:hkzhou@nwipb.cas.cn
作者简介:郭婧(1989-),女,汉族,青海西宁人,博士,副研究员,主要从事生态经济、环境生态学研究,E-mail:352097314@qq.com
基金资助:
青海省省级哲学社会科学项目“黄河青海流域横向生态补偿机制研究（22Y011）”；国家黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展联合研究中心项目（2022-YRUC-01-0102）；青海省自然科学基金创新团队项目（2021-ZJ-902）资助

Abstract

Abstract: This article calculated the per capita three-dimensional ecological footprint of four provinces and regions in the upper reaches of the Yellow River from 2012 to 2021 based on an improved three-dimensional ecological footprint model. And the partial least squares method was used for driving force analysis. The results indicate that the per capita ecological footprint of the upper reaches of the Yellow River has increased from 2.089 9 hm²·person^-1 in 2012 to 2.536 5 hm²·person^-1 in 2021, and it has remained ecologically sustainable for 10 years. During the research period, the per capita ecological footprint depth of each province in the upper reaches of the Yellow River exceeded 1 hm²·person^-1, and the per capita ecological footprint breadth showed an overall trend of first increasing and then decreasing. The per capita three-dimensional ecological footprint is generally in a fluctuating upward trend, with Inner Mongolia having a relatively higher per capita three-dimensional ecological footprint value, reaching 3.87 hm²·person^-1 in 2021. The characteristics of sustainable development level changes over the five periods show a distribution pattern of "high in the southwest and low in the northeast". The provinces with higher sustainable development levels are Qinghai Province and Gansu Province. The driving force analysis model indicates that the overall driving force of natural capital in the upper reaches of the Yellow River is influenced by multiple factors such as population, social consumption, ecological construction, technology, and environmental pollution. In the future, it is necessary to formulate and implement sustainable development strategies tailored to local conditions, and to promote ecological protection and high-quality development in the upper reaches of the Yellow River.

Key words: Improving three-dimensional ecological footprint, The upper reaches of the Yellow River, Driving force, Natural capital, Sustainable development evaluation

摘要： 本文基于改进的三维生态足迹模型，测算了黄河上游4个省区2012-2021年的人均三维生态足迹，并利用偏最小二乘法进行了驱动力分析。结果表明：黄河上游的人均生态足迹从2012年的2.089 9 hm²·人^-1上升至2021年的2.536 5 hm²·人^-1，10年间仍处于生态可持续状态；研究期间黄河上游各省区的人均生态足迹深度均超过 1 hm²·人^-1，人均生态足迹广度在总体上呈先升后降的趋势；人均三维生态足迹整体处于波动上升趋势，其中内蒙古的人均三维生态足迹值偏高，2021年达到3.87 hm²·人^-1；5个时期的可持续发展水平变化特征呈现"西南高东北低"的分布格局，可持续发展水平较高的省份为青海省和甘肃省；驱动力分析模型表明，黄河上游地区自然资本驱动力整体受人口、社会消费、生态建设、科技和环境污染多重因素综合影响。未来需因地制宜制定和实施可持续发展策略，推动黄河上游地区生态保护与高质量发展。

关键词: 改进三维生态足迹, 黄河上游地区, 驱动力, 自然资本, 可持续发展评价

CLC Number:

Q141

GUO Jing, WEI Zhen, ZHOU Hua-kun. Sustainable Evaluation and Driving Forces of Natural Capital in the Three-dimensional Ecological Footprint of the Upper Reaches of the Yellow River Region[J]. Acta Agrestia Sinica, 2024, 32(1): 284-296.

郭婧, 魏珍, 周华坤. 黄河上游地区三维生态足迹自然资本可持续评价及驱动力[J]. 草地学报, 2024, 32(1): 284-296.

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Sustainable Evaluation and Driving Forces of Natural Capital in the Three-dimensional Ecological Footprint of the Upper Reaches of the Yellow River Region

黄河上游地区三维生态足迹自然资本可持续评价及驱动力

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